![FOF组合基金(第2版):大数据金融丛书](https://wfqqreader-1252317822.image.myqcloud.com/cover/460/25462460/b_25462460.jpg)
其他
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0002.jpg?sign=1739529465-SP4exSJPFHbaV6uwsyEhN7NL26uVypK7-0-45c1ed745a14089d3c3f716cc612348d)
图1.12 中国台湾地区FOF统计数据
数据来源:Bloomberg,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0003.jpg?sign=1739529465-f6I4b5eZfWHFzmx0Q1XlfTxY5ocSKhuo-0-ec31850ef61ba71738c9a5fc296984e3)
图1.25 桥水全天候基金的走势图
数据来源:Bridgewater,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0004.jpg?sign=1739529465-OXqhucFQ6wzfz1Alwh8dyOPObGHHEEAs-0-1be662e09ac548fdfe3cf078dbacbdd9)
图3.13 耶鲁基金模式资产配置
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0005.jpg?sign=1739529465-w6rbQGTqKM5YubNcMQj8hlfvcKCGjyLV-0-4b27253f61cec21bbe0e07089f270afa)
图3.16 耶鲁基金表现情况
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0006.jpg?sign=1739529465-wvPa2AdsyNSam2f7ga7dG8kQqTMyg5Sn-0-a67ba75aafb250f5aac4cb05de8ab244)
图3.22 从1926年7月到2013年8月美股四大板块的收益率走势对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0007.jpg?sign=1739529465-nshNAt9Ui9NbcKL8tgUSaP9R6VJilUgO-0-bb3b77ab2e962525af5e47d217c50f14)
图3.26 先锋平衡指数基金历史表现
资料来源:先锋公司官网
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0008.jpg?sign=1739529465-AU5IOSuj6rljszqJxfOGn9HhWdeSulzu-0-124dcc79ff2cd089e19eb6df4460988a)
图3.30 多资产ETF跟踪指数走势历史表现对比
资料来源:彭博
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0009.jpg?sign=1739529465-cJ9jkw1a7ljMP1J3BGUrBhWDJw0fpYAv-0-b12d208fe409f6cb22111688b1d9cc5e)
图4.3 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(年度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0010.jpg?sign=1739529465-1RfCuRFqtrCzYRMRYpB9fo1NSN1DHArA-0-8c91edebed149ffa660e1dff09f7f160)
图4.4 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(季度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0011.jpg?sign=1739529465-IAHuPWR9bVn1hi5W3cnGEGG5CTiNtKBn-0-c703171ce36fb3c7b28ec57ce3df95c9)
图4.5 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(月度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0012.jpg?sign=1739529465-em284Czf6LLFZQqp07y6anjF8kXiTdSc-0-82cabeb42fb5f5227e76527cef3807c7)
图4.6 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(两周调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0013.jpg?sign=1739529465-7GkjZUFSsvztBf0IliKyIqKbpChEhtww-0-cfb4f7674a0a292f201795c2a1f89bf5)
图4.7 基于价值因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0014.jpg?sign=1739529465-vPxaaNygHonUNWBiXJcyw5Lja4sQfLZF-0-001bba68f21cfbeac9c428f94cf7f8b7)
图4.8 基于成长因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0015.jpg?sign=1739529465-S0zLec4t4EO2fEz0xfGPlPgixEP0SZXV-0-8af90e6142069536d206ee01d098e178)
图4.9 基于质量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0016.jpg?sign=1739529465-pAxNXNaOyOJ0oywlfYTlaLfeurCwBQbY-0-483b13a35ea9a2d076fb63d7721b3f57)
图4.10 基于股息因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0017.jpg?sign=1739529465-ZI9ybXhBFQ7TRAs2hxaNZpQGD8l6C46P-0-e7f06bc08a6b05ccc52449e68dfd1649)
图4.11 基于规模因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0018.jpg?sign=1739529465-posrfIxQQoRlbd8OThI9OxiVokWydhCf-0-35f10b22f7680e57b165933e72161969)
图4.12 基于动量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0019.jpg?sign=1739529465-c6FiWNE9Iip0MrTrZ9FuivgawVo6eZWG-0-8aca0e87e904ff84a504bc6911daf610)
图4.13 基于反转因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0020.jpg?sign=1739529465-qhvxEj5m1Q6rDkL0jnK9xZyHlGp3Mpfb-0-54b8d380181ff17f226cba9268a84993)
图4.14 基于分析师预期因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0021.jpg?sign=1739529465-sK0CHwyeAHGLdTXDOdsXczhtP2o3CsG9-0-44b93769038cbcdc6d966636b38a9480)
图4.15 基于情绪因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0022.jpg?sign=1739529465-Y8HOBRFDDZf7023EomUxSsoSXE51jCwv-0-6ece90f310d7bf0bb7ca043e2b3fc7e6)
图4.16 基于人气指标因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0023.jpg?sign=1739529465-4r3sUgsyPxuZ5z39zmXhze9qM91FOUjM-0-6d929bc20a474ed6818d3bb070bc6e04)
图4.17 基于波动因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0024.jpg?sign=1739529465-ga5PDZt12Oy2aSGV48s1PsNbvY9bNy8k-0-9dc854ef0033b1c71a2aff8ba705aed7)
图4.19 基于多因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0025.jpg?sign=1739529465-KcnRbBOyg98dmReUXKlhxne3qx6UtS19-0-92ed0fddb4873292cf928f55e7180f9c)
图4.20 回测净值曲线图(含货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0026.jpg?sign=1739529465-pj2GZpcQtmcXkVGNyW09Ehh3S5u8YUWG-0-5afe11489522c6891497b09804174b4f)
图4.21 回测净值曲线图(剔除货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0027.jpg?sign=1739529465-YWnjR2BoaiY6oDE55E5aE0NBSi3oFw30-0-5a94503c7ab1a7c8b9ec77b37210ee09)
图5.6 火鸡策略曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0028.jpg?sign=1739529465-RQs81Bai5J2avqlif2t9XzFoeL9y2BAa-0-7d19ee066390485d86edb5f531483f35)
图5.20 市场情绪指标择时策略
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0029.jpg?sign=1739529465-fRQYBecluig4U9MtzZHn59t3TiT3uX4v-0-d9af543eda620d38afac452389a58288)
图5.30 各资产净值走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0030.jpg?sign=1739529465-m1eD02HKmflZIh8eyeagtjGKABhPld02-0-deca0142c912642a5ef59c2ad3d5c840)
图6.1 大类资产时间序列动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0031.jpg?sign=1739529465-YWF3m2VNAQN22XScKTlyc7wKBqHcqPTv-0-397ad46ca738939e7bf6fe58255e1859)
图6.3 大类资产横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0032.jpg?sign=1739529465-3MBRQFFPZeHKLiYqIpLptn0wsDLawgdK-0-3169d886f6c7b626ec3b7bf1aef864ca)
图6.4 改进的横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0033.jpg?sign=1739529465-yQyo396s0txO8Ggx83wnfmpXHNcvTg1l-0-8f9a96d45c1adfa8697a637f1b0955c1)
图6.5 时间序列动量与横截面动量的叠加
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0034.jpg?sign=1739529465-Y1vI4D68Zadz856HaMMc1NGoD75J8oQf-0-22fb3a0771653926c3d9c3fd8cc50dad)
图6.15 奇异谱模型回测结果
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0035.jpg?sign=1739529465-sZjbZuQ6huyEVtNhGTMnCYQ1gLm8Nhty-0-fa2e95813572c232884726eddbf73805)
图6.16 申万一级行业指数单季度涨跌幅统计(%)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0036.jpg?sign=1739529465-atxTqiIFyBCuZGtPZ9lpEmqAbn4aa0fa-0-8fccd4ee74c6d6bd3f48764b19f101e5)
图6.21 多期风格雷达——大摩多因子策略(数据日期:2015年4月)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0037.jpg?sign=1739529465-alSAP3MKG5w77v57nUIgexGGwE4VJTNU-0-438a1375253d73b97aff9355fdf40755)
图6.22 基于风格雷达的FOF表现(数据 日 期:2014/12—2016/1)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0038.jpg?sign=1739529465-sSnhGarjfvbj9jOMQ8BrjoofwSs1j5hm-0-8c1acd184afa324e71e89fcf45642c8c)
图6.24 某只基金的半年、季、月频风格画像
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0039.jpg?sign=1739529465-YhGhxLv9aQ3zV1mLVGyOUYloUUvSWfPG-0-0b85f24a99a4cb12ca947727fd008470)
图6.28 策略净值曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0040.jpg?sign=1739529465-jTsFMnRo8fCDgV9x8N9E7UDKeyOU8EGy-0-9155a9eca55044e60b8d20dd376a77a4)
图6.30 策略被选基金统计
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0041.jpg?sign=1739529465-3NEXqv4gI7ORe66KJrlon6lhIRL2d84Z-0-492bd159cfa7f45aae09b52b68cdc1f0)
图6.38 沪深300指数(大盘指数)、中证500指数(中小盘指数)和中证1000指数(小盘指数)走势图对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0042.jpg?sign=1739529465-su4wKoIUOKyLQ8KiQkgVscej5Nknkn4c-0-6777369d92f7a8d43c4f62fc377f4b2d)
图6.40 标准二分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0043.jpg?sign=1739529465-06zWovDcCDi9Ri8U5TjE7h3Zi3dYAJmu-0-15e55b7a3eeeb54a2ced399e255f8202)
图6.41 有序多分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0044.jpg?sign=1739529465-7zXnGb8Blx0CHhagBOdWoIxZdw5iQovW-0-e6732c197a849f287e060efa7aff5bb6)
图7.4 国外目标日期策略指数的配置变化
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0045.jpg?sign=1739529465-AMVLtZ6dWFC7AzfZHTPWPgAJa621YKDk-0-5fe3ef2a2b69b6fb87c8ceda9b554bfe)
图7.9 中证平安2025退休宝指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0046.jpg?sign=1739529465-WvDHX3l4XMLlroheNZwwRjuWKf7J8hU7-0-8c18f2a505d0430df7a2223fd01a6d66)
图7.13 标普500每日风险控制系列指数走势图
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0047.jpg?sign=1739529465-ULDCfZRl4zvcs8OFvvthe8nTlW5lJCGd-0-a25836131a42874251a0ccc101ccde32)
图7.14 标普目标风险系列指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0048.jpg?sign=1739529465-AAs4w0LaT4VtWSywosfNubxucZ2IGvL7-0-ea8f35867bb410988e412434ad834fc4)
图8.11 对冲基金FOF的模拟业绩
数据来源:Risk Parity Portfolios with Risk Factors
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0049.jpg?sign=1739529465-mzfCvlrDZC3wMssaLg4PPIgQui2GYxOn-0-3f6747348cfdd4bb8a08b968db9eb16d)
图9.7 2000—2015年总体基金的资产配置变化图
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0050.jpg?sign=1739529465-YKaYggKHTe4S4FwGLoIpVfWNLUpCoQcw-0-f7fecd0cbb1b9acd5ea1fc3929edba03)
图11.1 多因子模型的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0051.jpg?sign=1739529465-FvXLdJGZMYOv2r7jDjNaLconwOFKQfGB-0-a15e06e0ef93a91426a9e8f30991b4c8)
图11.2 大/小盘风格轮动策略收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0052.jpg?sign=1739529465-qyeRo6scsPVDS5BdKurzgplnYxPQRxnp-0-07dfda350b204902217b4a77e7851d3e)
图11.3 顺周期行业轮动策略的收益率图示
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0053.jpg?sign=1739529465-DcwX54aiCoOV1ybkJ30wSpxhveKNvQJq-0-ecee989078bc224dfd4695d2a5d0c30a)
图11.7 2006年一致预期EPS相对于2005年实际EPS的增速
数据来源:[谢江 2008]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0054.jpg?sign=1739529465-etnNjJUcUrThK0GCrqeSjXjErmZVY22g-0-8313339637a15da369c9f03ed3e3dcc8)
图11.8 不同一致预期指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[卜永强 2012]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0055.jpg?sign=1739529465-NmaJihMRNXUx5sVoLWbO71k4QkwVaLET-0-a9f59e7da5e5b6cca11b337995e84e5a)
图11.9 筹码选股模型中单个指标在不同年份的收益率情况
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0056.jpg?sign=1739529465-idKUiy91zmPAFqxoKXcZGpneoWaeoDaV-0-f871dd4331ca885bbfe7a5aedf0f3db0)
图11.10 筹码选股模型中单个指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0057.jpg?sign=1739529465-LCmIsAFhApIqhXG8MlMVs3PGyVLyLGrx-0-6e2d790547701e3ec4f77618bad73714)
图11.15 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图2004.1.2—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0058.jpg?sign=1739529465-k2G4buO3gCJqo2g0GYRNhTAKdEGWBtDy-0-d69fe8a8c15b2f96727513ea5a3a752c)
图11.16 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2004.1.2—2005.12.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0059.jpg?sign=1739529465-ik5YEMoZgXZBURmb2KJU3dw2BpEL9RrS-0-661476d160a9e5a8c66b11054624c7f5)
图11.17 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2006.1.4—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0060.jpg?sign=1739529465-j7g5E5JedwgRqPM6Gitdb6dIqjBSKyaF-0-f179d96db4aab5093563a936d039c783)
图11.31 正向基差套利原理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0061.jpg?sign=1739529465-bYRY4DgiSnYGeceOXu85IwKUzPXi0fw0-0-9385905a669170993a8be1146c1e4a21)
图16.1 Bridgewater的绝对阿尔法累计收益率对比
数据来源:MPI Case Study
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0062.jpg?sign=1739529465-fcSQZClRO4XXKfChrX9LELcBlYrekFu5-0-bc93338bd10085181fba4b5ea5525ff0)
图16.9 长期资本管理基金净值走势